Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 11, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Lanus

Benedetto (88', 88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Diaz (45+1', 45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Lanus

All competitions
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
52.89% (-0.654 -0.65)27.41% (0.156 0.16)19.7% (0.499 0.5)
Both teams to score 39.49% (0.285 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)82.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.294 -0.29)24.5% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)58.96% (0.42 0.42)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (0.58 0.58)47.7% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (0.425 0.42)83.01% (-0.422 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 52.88%
    Lanus 19.7%
    Draw 27.4%
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
1-0 @ 16.43% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 11.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 52.88%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.7%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Lanus

Boca Juniors
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Lanus
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 1.30am
gameweek 19
Lanus
0-1
Boca Juniors
Apr 17, 2022 11pm
gameweek 10
Boca Juniors
1-1
Lanus
Villa (5')
Rojo (41'), Campuzano (54'), Vasquez (90+4')
Sand (25')
Acosta (35'), Di Placido (49'), Pasquini (73'), Braghieri (90+4')
Oct 10, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
4-2
Lanus
Weigandt (32'), Almendra (38'), Vasquez (50'), Pavon (90+3' pen.)
Malcorra (23'), Braghieri (82')
May 2, 2021 2pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
1-0
Lanus
Izquierdoz (75')
Almendra (45'), Medina (52'), Capaldo (68'), Belmonte (73'), Soldano (86'), Maroni (89'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')
Nov 20, 2020 10.20pm
Group Stage
Boca Juniors
1-2
Lanus
Abila (86')
Lopez (52'), Zarate (52'), Abila (55'), Jara (70'), Capaldo (71'), Buffarini (82'), Cardona (89')
Orsini (28', 45')
Morales (44'), Belmonte (54')