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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 28, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Tigre

Merentiel (13')
Fabra (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molinas (28'), Luciatti (54'), Menossi (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Tigre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawTigre
42.41% (0.064 0.06) 27.18% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.41% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.86% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.79% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)77.2% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)33.58% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)70.22% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 42.41%
    Tigre 30.41%
    Draw 27.18%
Boca JuniorsDrawTigre
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.41%

Head to Head
Jun 16, 2022 1.30am
gameweek 3
Boca Juniors
5-3
Tigre
Benedetto (11', 77'), Zeballos (54', 74'), Demartini (57' og.)
Fernandez (49'), Zeballos (76'), Weigandt (80'), Fabra (90+1')
Figal (35' og.), Retegui (66', 89')
Sosa (76'), Blondel (82')
May 22, 2022 8pm
Boca Juniors
3-0
Tigre
Rojo (45+4'), Fabra (68'), Vasquez (86')
Romero (23')

Cabrera (34'), Prieto (48'), Blondel (90')
May 7, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 14
Tigre
0-2
Boca Juniors

Fernandez (4'), Luciatti (27'), Blondel (39'), Prieto (68')
Benedetto (44'), Vasquez (65')
Benedetto (48'), Campuzano (90+2')
Nov 3, 2018 11pm
gameweek 11
Boca Juniors
4-1
Tigre
Tevez (26', 73'), Cardona (69'), Buffarini (88')
Benedetto (15'), Balerdi (51'), Gago (63')
Gonzalez (11')
Ortiz (21'), Caire (29')
rhs 2.0
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