Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
0 - 2
Boca Juniors

FT(HT: 0-1)
Advincula (13'), Villa (65')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Monagas
Thursday, April 20 at 2am in Copa Libertadores
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Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Racing
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawBoca Juniors
38.02% (-0.184 -0.18)29.82% (0.053000000000001 0.05)32.16% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 42.32% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.24% (-0.142 -0.14)64.76% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.28% (-0.099 -0.1)83.72% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.191 -0.19)32.92% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.214 -0.21)69.5% (0.21799999999999 0.22)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (0.020000000000003 0.02)36.91% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (0.019000000000002 0.02)73.7% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 38.02%
    Boca Juniors 32.16%
    Draw 29.82%
Colo-ColoDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.02%
1-1 @ 13.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.15% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.82%
0-1 @ 12.11% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 32.16%

How you voted: Colo-Colo vs Boca Juniors

Colo-Colo
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Boca Juniors
20.0%
10