Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Monagas

Palacios (45+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Monagas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

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Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, April 6 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Monagas

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Last Game: Monagas 0-0 Boca Juniors
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawMonagas
60.84% (-0.38999999999999 -0.39)23.73% (0.175 0.18)15.43% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 41.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-0.262 -0.26)57.03% (0.262 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.09% (-0.208 -0.21)77.92% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.239 -0.24)18.51% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.406 -0.41)49.73% (0.407 0.41)
Monagas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.88% (0.151 0.15)49.12% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.96% (0.108 0.11)84.04% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 60.83%
    Monagas 15.43%
    Draw 23.73%
Colo-ColoDrawMonagas
1-0 @ 15.33% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.28% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 60.83%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.27% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.092 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.43%

rhs 2.0


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