Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Dep. Pereira

Advincula (89'), Varela (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fory (76')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Deportivo Pereira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, April 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, April 6 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Deportivo Pereira win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawDeportivo Pereira
63.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.88%14.05%
Both teams to score 40.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)56.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66%77.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55%17.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1%47.9%
Deportivo Pereira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.29%50.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)85.14% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 63.06%
    Deportivo Pereira 14.05%
    Draw 22.87%
Boca JuniorsDrawDeportivo Pereira
1-0 @ 15.44%
2-0 @ 13.48%
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 5.33%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 63.06%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 3.11%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 6.01%
1-2 @ 3.56%
0-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 14.05%