Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.