Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 25, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas

Dep. Pereira
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Rodriguez (78', 78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Pereira and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Pereira

Last Game: Dep. Pereira 2-1 Monagas
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, May 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pereira win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportivo Pereira in this match.

Result
Deportivo Pereira	Draw	Boca Juniors
37.07% ( 0.13)	29.16% ( 0.07)	33.77% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 44.34% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.57% (

-0.24)

62.42% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.95% (

-0.18)

82.05% (

0.18)

Deportivo Pereira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

-0.04)

32.3% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19% (

-0.04)

68.8% (

0.04)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.5% (

-0.27)

34.49% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.79% (

-0.29)

71.21% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Pereira 37.07%

Boca Juniors 33.77%

Draw 29.15%

Deportivo Pereira	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.07%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.15%	0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 33.77%