Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
May 14, 2023 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Martin Payero 49' goal
  • Dario Benedetto 52' goal

Boca Juniors vs Belgrano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 7, 2023 9.30pm
River Plate 1 - 0 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 6, 2023 10.00pm
Belgrano 1 - 0 Tucuman
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result

Boca Juniors 47.23% (-0.14)
Draw 28.33% (+0.04)
Belgrano 24.44% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.21% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.07% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 62.93% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 17.59% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 82.41% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 6.99% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 93.01% (+0.02)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 73.16% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 26.84% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 37.86% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 62.14% (+0.12)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 57.7% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 42.3% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 21.31% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 78.69% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 47.22%
Draw 28.32%
Belgrano 24.44%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.93% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 47.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.35% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.32%
Belgrano
0-1 @ 9.77% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.2% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.44%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Feb 11, 2019 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Julio César Villagra (Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba)
  • Juan Quiroga 29' yellowcard
  • Juan Patino 63' yellowcard
  • Federico Lertora 81' goal
  • Juan Patino 94' redcard
  • goal Lisandro Lopez 16'
  • yellowcard Julio Buffarini 38'
  • yellowcard Junior Alonso 58'
  • yellowcard Carlos Izquierdoz 83'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 84'