Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas

Dep. Pereira
2 - 1
Monagas

Ramirez (20' pen.), Fory (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Enmanuel Martinez Morales (65'), Martinez (65')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Pereira and Monagas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Pereira

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Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Dep. Pereira
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Monagas

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Monagas
Thursday, April 20 at 2am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pereira win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Pereira would win this match.

Result
Deportivo PereiraDrawMonagas
48.91% (0.38999999999999 0.39)25.64% (-0.294 -0.29)25.45% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.775 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (1.058 1.06)52.88% (-1.058 -1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (0.895 0.9)74.49% (-0.895 -0.89)
Deportivo Pereira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.61099999999999 0.61)21.64% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (0.928 0.93)54.76% (-0.93 -0.93)
Monagas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.492 0.49)35.77% (-0.493 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (0.502 0.5)72.54% (-0.506 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Pereira 48.9%
    Monagas 25.45%
    Draw 25.64%
Deportivo PereiraDrawMonagas
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.9%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 25.45%