Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 28.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.