Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
52.37% ( 1.28)	28.66% ( -0.01)	18.97% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 35.93% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.22% (

-0.97)

67.78% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.21% (

-0.65)

85.78% (

0.66)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

0.15)

26.63% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

0.2)

61.86% (

-0.19)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.97% (

-2.08)

51.03% (

2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.64% (

-1.44)

85.36% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Lanus 52.36%

Atletico Tucuman 18.97%

Draw 28.64%

Lanus	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 17.98% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 52.36%	0-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.48) 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.28% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.97%