Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.