Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.