Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Sarmiento

Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Merentiel (71', 71'), Medina (84', 84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-0 Monagas
Thursday, June 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.08%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawSarmiento
66.35% (0.128 0.13)23.21% (-0.09 -0.09)10.44% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 31.26% (0.087 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.34% (0.195 0.2)63.66% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.06% (0.14 0.14)82.94% (-0.136 -0.14)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (0.124 0.12)19.01% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (0.202 0.2)50.56% (-0.196 -0.2)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.6% (0.051000000000002 0.05)61.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)91.35% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 66.33%
    Sarmiento 10.44%
    Draw 23.21%
Boca JuniorsDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 19.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 16.08%
3-0 @ 8.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 66.33%
0-0 @ 11.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.31%
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 10.44%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento

Boca Juniors
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Sarmiento
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sarmiento
0-1
Boca Juniors
Langoni (45+1')
Nov 20, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
2-0
Sarmiento
Vasquez (25'), Fabra (47')
Mar 1, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Boca Juniors
1-1
Sarmiento
Lopez (69')
Alanis (65')