Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 22
Jul 3, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Miguel Merentiel 71' goal
  • Miguel Merentiel 71' goal
  • Cristian Medina 84' goal
  • Cristian Medina 84' goal

Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jun 23, 2023 1.45am
Godoy Cruz 4 - 0 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jun 26, 2023 12.30am
Sarmiento 4 - 1 Tucuman
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Luciano Gondou

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.08%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result

Boca Juniors 66.35% (+0.13)
Draw 23.21% (-0.09)
Sarmiento 10.44% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.26% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.34% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 63.66% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 17.06% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 82.94% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 6.7% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 93.3% (-0.08)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 81% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 19.01% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 49.44% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 50.56% (-0.20)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 38.6% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 61.4% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 8.65% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 91.35% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 66.33%
Draw 23.21%
Sarmiento 10.44%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 19.37% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 16.08%
3-0 @ 8.9% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.85% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 66.33%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.67% (-0.09)
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.21%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 2.31%
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 10.44%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 25
Oct 12, 2022 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Luca Langoni 45'+1'
Copa Diego Maradona
Nov 20, 2021 10.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Vasquez 25' goal
  • Frank Fabra 47' goal
Copa Diego Maradona
Mar 1, 2021 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Lisandro Lopez 69' goal
  • Jorman Campuzano 71' yellowcard
  • Edwin Cardona 78' yellowcard
  • Cristian Medina 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fausto Montero 43'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Montoya 64'
  • goal Gabriel Alanis 65'
  • goal Gabriel Alanis 65'
  • yellowcard 66'