Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.