Copa Libertadores
Jun 29, 2023 11.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Marcelo Weigandt 39' goal
  • Valentin Barco 61' goal
  • Luis Vasquez 86' goal
  • Luis Vasquez 89' goal

Boca Juniors vs Monagas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 7, 2023 1.00am
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Colo-Colo

Monagas

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 6, 2023 11.00pm
Monagas 1 - 0 Dep. Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result

Boca Juniors 66.33% (+0.04)
Draw 20.93% (+0.01)
Monagas 12.74% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.69% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.37% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 51.63% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.59% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 73.41% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 12.38% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 87.62% (+0.06)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 85.25% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.75% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 57.02% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 42.98% (+0.05)

Monagas Goals

Over 0.5 50.07% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 49.92% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 15.39% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 84.6% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 66.32%
Draw 20.93%
Monagas 12.74%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.09% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 13.48% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.61% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 66.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.93%
Monagas
0-1 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 12.74%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 7, 2023 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT