Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 23, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental de MaturĂ­n

Monagas
1 - 1
Colo-Colo

Ramirez (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bolados (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Monagas and Colo-Colo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Dep. Pereira 2-1 Monagas
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-2 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Monagas had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Monagas win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
MonagasDrawColo-Colo
33.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)28.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)38.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)59.16% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.6% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Monagas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.53% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)29.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01)66.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monagas 33.52%
    Colo-Colo 38.26%
    Draw 28.2%
MonagasDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.52%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 11.89%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 38.26%

How you voted: Monagas vs Colo-Colo

Monagas
16.7%
Draw
58.3%
Colo-Colo
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 2am
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
1-0
Monagas
Palacios (45+6' pen.)

Gonzalez (45+4'), Romero (63'), Castillo (72')