Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Monumental de Maturin

Monagas
1 - 0
Dep. Pereira

Navas (19' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Monagas and Deportivo Pereira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monagas

Last Game: Monagas 1-1 Colo-Colo
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Deportivo Pereira

Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 25 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monagas win with a probability of 44.46%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monagas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Deportivo Pereira win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monagas in this match.

Result
Monagas	Draw	Deportivo Pereira
44.46% ( 0.04)	29.02% ( -0.02)	26.52% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.02% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.03% (

0.03)

63.97% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.84% (

0.02)

83.16% (

-0.02)

Monagas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

0.04)

28.78% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38% (

0.05)

64.62% (

-0.05)

Deportivo Pereira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.99% (

-0)

41.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.44% (

-0)

77.56% (

Score Analysis

Monagas 44.45%

Deportivo Pereira 26.52%

Draw 29.02%

Monagas	Draw	Deportivo Pereira
1-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 44.45%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.02%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 26.52%