Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Sarmiento

Independiente
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Gimenez Rojas (38', 38', 52', 52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Independiente
Sunday, June 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Newell's OB
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.4%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
45.39% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)31.16% (0.028000000000002 0.03)23.46% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 35.25% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.84% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)87.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)31.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)68.41% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)83.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 45.38%
    Sarmiento 23.46%
    Draw 31.15%
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.57%
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 45.38%
0-0 @ 15.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-1 @ 12.82%
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 31.15%
0-1 @ 11.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Independiente vs Sarmiento

Independiente
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sarmiento
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 9pm
gameweek 19
Sarmiento
1-2
Independiente
Femia (49')
Fernandez (75', 77')
Oct 21, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
Sarmiento
Romero (6')
Velasco (43')
Gondou (32')
Bravo (41'), Montoya (71')
Mar 16, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Independiente
6-0
Sarmiento

Alanis (29'), Torres (40')