Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.52%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.