Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 4, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
2 - 2
Gimnasia

Ortiz (36', 36'), Montenegro (57', 57')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Dominguez (11', 11'), Tarragona (25', 25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-1 Audax
Thursday, June 29 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Gimnasia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Universitario 1-0 Gimnasia
Thursday, June 29 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.52%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawGimnasia
55.55% (-0.39 -0.39)27.23% (0.198 0.2)17.22% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 36.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.43% (-0.353 -0.35)65.57% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.71% (-0.246 -0.25)84.29% (0.242 0.24)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)24.15% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (-0.47 -0.47)58.46% (0.465 0.47)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.13% (0.032000000000004 0.03)51.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.08% (0.022 0.02)85.91% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 55.54%
    Gimnasia 17.22%
    Draw 27.22%
Newell's Old BoysDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 17.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 55.54%
0-0 @ 12.52% (0.16 0.16)
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 17.22%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Gimnasia

Newell's Old Boys
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Gimnasia
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 18
Newell's OB
2-0
Gimnasia
Piris (30' og.), Reasco (41')
May 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
Gimnasia
3-1
Newell's OB
Ramirez (17'), Sosa (48', 54')
Tarragona (60'), Rey (61'), Insaurralde (71')
Gerometta (80')
Perez (2')
Fernandez (32'), Lema (35'), Castro (41'), Luciano (46'), Arboleda (60'), Cingolani (72'), Mendez (89')
Perez (59')
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-0
Newell's OB
Carbonero (42')
Miguel Rodriguez (29'), Aleman (79'), Fratta (90+5')

Negri (68'), Lema (83')
Apr 26, 2021 10pm
First Phase
Gimnasia
2-1
Newell's OB
Carbonero (54'), Perez Garcia (68')
Cesar Cingolani (71')
Ramirez (32'), Sforza (37'), Llano (75'), Cabral (80'), Scocco (85')
Oct 29, 2019 10.10pm
Gameweek 11
Newell's OB
0-4
Gimnasia

Gabrielli (5'), Formica (73'), Leal (83')
Contin (40'), Caire (50'), Tijanovich (51'), Garcia (57')
Guiffrey (22')