Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Audax Italiano

Newell's OB
1 - 1
Audax

Mendez (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cereceda (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Newell's Old Boys and Audax Italiano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Huracan 1-1 Newell's OB
Friday, June 23 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Audax Italiano

All competitions
Last Game: Blooming 1-2 Audax
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Audax Italiano win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawAudax Italiano
60.29% (0.091999999999999 0.09)24.81% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)14.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 37.85% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.7% (0.158 0.16)61.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.78% (0.117 0.12)81.22% (-0.116 -0.12)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.101 0.1)20.37% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (0.158 0.16)52.78% (-0.156 -0.16)
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.53% (0.053000000000004 0.05)52.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.69% (0.038 0.04)86.31% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 60.29%
    Audax Italiano 14.9%
    Draw 24.8%
Newell's Old BoysDrawAudax Italiano
1-0 @ 17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 60.29%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 14.9%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Audax

Newell's Old Boys
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Audax Italiano
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Audax
0-1
Newell's OB
Aguirre (90+4')