Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Union had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.