Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Santos	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
44.01% ( 0.08)	28.66% ( -0.02)	27.33% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 43.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.53% (

0.03)

62.47% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.92% (

0.02)

82.08% (

-0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

0.06)

28.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

0.07)

64.02% (

-0.07)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.54% (

-0.03)

39.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.85% (

-0.03)

76.15% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Santos 44%

Newell's Old Boys 27.33%

Draw 28.65%

Santos	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 44%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.65%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.33%