Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Ramon Aguilera Costas
Audax Italiano

Blooming
1 - 2
Audax

Luis Sinisterra (30', 30')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Sepulveda (12', 12', 38', 38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Blooming and Audax Italiano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Blooming 2-3 Newell's OB
Thursday, May 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Audax 2-1 Santos
Thursday, May 25 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blooming win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blooming win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Audax Italiano win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Audax Italiano would win this match.

Result
BloomingDrawAudax Italiano
45.89% (0.564 0.56)25.21% (-0.117 -0.12)28.9% (-0.442 -0.44)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (0.272 0.27)48.92% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (0.246 0.25)71.01% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Blooming Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.369 0.37)21.33% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (0.564 0.56)54.29% (-0.56 -0.56)
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)30.94% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.212 -0.21)67.23% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Blooming 45.89%
    Audax Italiano 28.9%
    Draw 25.2%
BloomingDrawAudax Italiano
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.9%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Audax
2-0
Blooming
Sosa (45'), Rios (66')