Copa Sudamericana
Jun 29, 2023 3.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Piero Quispe 40' goal
  • Piero Quispe 40' goal

Universitario vs Gimnasia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 9, 2023 3.00am
Santa Fe 2 - 0 Universitario

Gimnasia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 8, 2023 11.00pm
Goias 0 - 0 Gimnasia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Universitario in this match.

Result

Universitario 59.34% (-0.10)
Draw 23.56% (+0.05)
Gimnasia 17.1% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.11% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.05% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.95% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 24.6% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 75.39% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 11.11% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 88.89% (+0.05)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5 82.08% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 17.91% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 51.28% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 48.72% (+0.11)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5 54.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 45.05% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 19.03% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 80.97% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Universitario 59.33%
Draw 23.56%
Gimnasia 17.1%
Universitario
1-0 @ 13.87% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.93% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 59.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.56%
Gimnasia
0-1 @ 6.44% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.1%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 6, 2023 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
  • goal Alexander Succar 85'