Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.