Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2023 at 3am UK

Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Santa Fe
2 - 0
Universitario

Rodallega (27', 27'), Stiven Moreno Betancur (78'), Moreno (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Santa Fe and Universitario, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Fe

All competitions

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Santa Fe
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Universitario

All competitions

Last Game: Goias 1-0 Universitario
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Fe would win this match.

Result
Santa Fe	Draw	Universitario
51.7% ( -0.1)	27.74% ( 0.05)	20.56% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 39.77% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.07% (

-0.08)

63.93% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.87% (

-0.06)

83.13% (

0.06)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-0.09)

25.14% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

-0.12)

59.86% (

0.12)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.13% (

0.02)

46.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.61% (

0.01)

82.38% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Santa Fe 51.69%

Universitario 20.56%

Draw 27.73%

Santa Fe	Draw	Universitario
1-0 @ 16.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 51.69%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.56%