Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Independiente

Gimnasia
1 - 1
Independiente

Dominguez (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-2 Gimnasia
Tuesday, July 4 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Huracan
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 43.06%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.2%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawIndependiente
43.06% (-0.296 -0.3)30.74% (0.131 0.13)26.2% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 37.86% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.03% (-0.287 -0.29)68.97% (0.28700000000001 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.43% (-0.187 -0.19)86.57% (0.18599999999999 0.19)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.324 -0.32)32.11% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.37 -0.37)68.59% (0.369 0.37)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.77% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)44.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)80.31% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 43.05%
    Independiente 26.19%
    Draw 30.74%
GimnasiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 16.13% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 43.05%
0-0 @ 14.2% (0.15 0.15)
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 30.74%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Independiente

Gimnasia
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Independiente
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 17
Gimnasia
3-1
Independiente
Dominguez (34'), Morales (52'), Contin (56')
Contin (57')
Fernandez (12')
Fernandez (71'), Barreto (90+4')
Oct 11, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
Gimnasia
Romero (45+3')
Blanco (37'), Barreto (69'), Laso (90+4'), Costa (90+4')
Carbonero (45')
Cecchini (48'), Melluso (71'), Coronel (89')
Feb 27, 2021 10.20pm
First Phase
Independiente
1-0
Gimnasia
Manuel Insaurralde (67')
Blanco (4'), Manuel Insaurralde (59'), Menendez (86')

Weigandt (89'), (90+2')
(90')
Feb 22, 2020 10.40pm
Gameweek 21
Independiente
0-1
Gimnasia

Bustos (17'), Barreto (18'), Sanchez Mino (80'), Martinez (90')
Ramirez (90')
Mancilla (40'), Cocimano (88')
Mar 4, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Gimnasia
1-0
Independiente
Faravelli (52')
Comba (42')

Bustos (29'), Sanchez (33')