Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 24, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Independiente

Union
3 - 0
Independiente

Domina (25'), Zenon (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Last Game: Union 1-1 Lanus
Saturday, June 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, June 10 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.54%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawIndependiente
43.07% (0.787 0.79)30.96% (0.386 0.39)25.97% (-1.171 -1.17)
Both teams to score 37.28% (-1.465 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.39% (-1.436 -1.44)69.61% (1.436 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.02% (-0.936 -0.94)86.99% (0.937 0.94)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)32.44% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-0.346 -0.35)68.96% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.18% (-1.911 -1.91)44.83% (1.911 1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.21% (-1.575 -1.58)80.79% (1.576 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Union 43.07%
    Independiente 25.96%
    Draw 30.95%
UnionDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 16.37% (0.72 0.72)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.329 0.33)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.095 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 43.07%
0-0 @ 14.54% (0.75 0.75)
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.95%
0-1 @ 11.66%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.96%

How you voted: Union vs Independiente

Union
26.7%
Draw
56.7%
Independiente
16.7%
30
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 20
Union
0-1
Independiente
Romero (47')
Oct 26, 2021 1.15am
Second Phase
Independiente
1-0
Union
Pozzo (58')
Oct 30, 2019 10.10pm
Gameweek 11
Union
2-2
Independiente
Bou (89' pen.), Mazzola (95')
Acevedo (32'), Gomez (43'), Martinez (45'), Bou (74'), Mazzola (93')
Romero (25', 44')
Bustos (31'), Perez (39'), Benitez (51'), Silva (88')
Bustos (34')
Feb 9, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 18
Independiente
2-1
Union
Gomez (42' og.), Gaibor (75' pen.)
Bustos (20'), Franco (24'), Hernandez (91')
Pitton (18')
Martinez (32'), Acevedo (70'), Bottinelli (84'), Troyansky (89')