Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.