Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
2 - 0
Gimnasia

Estigarribia (29', 29'), Enrique (37' og., 37' og.)
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Last Game: Huracan 0-1 Tucuman
Friday, July 7 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Independiente
Friday, July 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawGimnasia
51.99% (-0.242 -0.24)27.17% (0.07 0.07)20.84% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 41.43% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.03% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)61.97% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.29% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)81.71% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.134 -0.13)24.14% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.19 -0.19)58.44% (0.193 0.19)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.61% (0.158 0.16)45.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76% (0.125 0.13)81.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 51.98%
    Gimnasia 20.84%
    Draw 27.17%
Atletico TucumanDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 15.57% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 51.98%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.84%

How you voted: Tucuman vs Gimnasia

Atletico Tucuman
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Gimnasia
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 7
Tucuman
2-0
Gimnasia
Lotti (1'), Ruiz (63')
Bianchi (29'), Di Franco (90+2')

Morales (58'), Miranda (76')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
Tucuman
1-2
Gimnasia
Ortiz (40')
Lotti (10'), Gil Romero (34'), Ortiz (48'), Carrera (60'), Acosta (71')
Carrera (90+5')
Tarragona (16', 61')
Gerometta (45+1'), Melluso (82'), Rey (89'), Sosa (90+5')
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-0
Tucuman
Aleman (90+4')

Daniel Valor (57'), Lagos (90+3')
Daniel Valor (75')
Mar 20, 2021 5pm
First Phase
Gimnasia
2-0
Tucuman
Weigandt (10'), Carbonero (75')
Carbonero (76'), Weigandt (90+3')

Lagos (30'), Mussis (63'), Acosta (72'), Vergini (89')
Jan 11, 2021 12.30am
Fase Campeon
Gimnasia
0-1
Tucuman