Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.43%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.