Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.