Copa Libertadores
Aug 3, 2023 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Exequiel Zeballos 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Valentini 85'

Nacional vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Nacional 34.59% (+0.99)
Draw 28.84% (-0.55)
Boca Juniors 36.56% (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.3% (+1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.7% (+1.88)
Under 2.5 61.29% (-1.88)
Over 3.5 18.78% (+1.38)
Under 3.5 81.21% (-1.38)
Over 4.5 7.65% (+0.76)
Under 4.5 92.35% (-0.77)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 66.66% (+1.67)
Under 0.5 33.34% (-1.67)
Over 1.5 30.04% (+1.80)
Under 1.5 69.96% (-1.80)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 67.95% (+0.69)
Under 0.5 32.05% (-0.69)
Over 1.5 31.48% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 68.52% (-0.78)

Score analysis

Nacional 34.59%
Draw 28.83%
Boca Juniors 36.56%
Nacional
1-0 @ 11.73% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 7.34% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 6.45% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 2.69% (+0.22)
3-0 @ 2.36% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.53% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.35% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 10.68% (-0.77)
2-2 @ 4.17% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.83%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 12.15% (-0.64)
1-2 @ 7.6% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.88% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.12)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 36.56%