Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.