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Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
0 - 2
Newell's OB


Lopez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferreira (15'), Velazquez (72')
Martino (27'), Contrera (90+3')
Heinze (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Newell's Old Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Independiente
Friday, July 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-0 Newell's OB
Saturday, July 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 1-0 Newell's Old Boys

Independiente have grown a lot since the arrival of Zielinski, showing more composure when in possession and limiting the giveaways we saw earlier this season. Before this week, Newell's had often done enough to earn points, but they have lacked that killer instinct in front of goal, which can often make the difference between winning and losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.23%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.32%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawNewell's Old Boys
42.23% (0.237 0.24) 30.28% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1) 27.49% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 39.58% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.75% (0.226 0.23)67.25% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.57% (0.152 0.15)85.43% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (0.255 0.25)31.68% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.29 0.29)68.1% (-0.289 -0.29)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94% (0.012999999999998 0.01)42.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51% (0.012999999999998 0.01)78.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 42.22%
    Newell's Old Boys 27.49%
    Draw 30.27%
IndependienteDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 15.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.22%
0-0 @ 13.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.27%
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 27.49%

How you voted: Independiente vs Newell's OB

Independiente
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Newell's Old Boys
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 12.30am
Oct 31, 2021 9pm
Second Phase
Newell's OB
1-0
Independiente
Alberto Bravo (90+4')
Campagnaro (9')
Campagnaro (72')
Mar 5, 2021 10.15pm
First Phase
Newell's OB
1-2
Independiente
Belluschi (75')
Perez (32'), Scocco (56'), Capasso (80'), Rodriguez (85')
Palacios (9'), Bustos (31')
Bustos (16'), Franco (54'), Sosa (90+5')
Dec 13, 2019 8.10pm
Gameweek 2
Independiente
2-3
Newell's OB
Dominguez (9'), Romero (45' pen.)
Sanchez (50'), Perez (69'), Romero (95'), Figal (95')
Gabrielli (38'), Fontanini (60'), Rodriguez (87')
Leal (10'), Gabrielli (74'), Rodriguez (95')
Aug 18, 2018 1am
Gameweek 2
Newell's OB
2-2
Independiente
Fertoli (15'), Fontanini (52')
Ferroni (59'), Rivero (85')
Amoroso (68')
Gigliotti (3', 43')
Sanchez Mino (20'), Silva (49'), Meza (54')
rhs 2.0
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