Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 31, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Newell's OB1 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Independiente.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Independiente |
| 37.95% | 27.54% | 34.51% |
| Both teams to score 49.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
