Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 9, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Newell's OB1 - 2Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 26.91% | 27.18% | 45.92% |
| Both teams to score 47.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
