Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 22, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo logo

Nacional
1 - 0
Cerro Largo

Fagundez (34')
Ramirez (14'), Morales (62'), Lozano (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gianoli (14'), Galletto (45+8'), Viera (61'), Brasil (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Fenix
Saturday, July 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Racing
Saturday, July 15 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
54.23% (0.546 0.55)26.57% (-0.276 -0.28)19.2% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 40.79% (0.294 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.38% (0.597 0.6)61.61% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.55% (0.441 0.44)81.45% (-0.437 -0.44)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.496 0.5)22.99% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (0.724 0.72)56.78% (-0.721 -0.72)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04)47.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.48% (0.033000000000001 0.03)82.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 54.22%
    Cerro Largo 19.2%
    Draw 26.56%
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 15.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 11.68% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.22%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 10.81% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.2%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
0-0
Cerro Largo
Sep 25, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-1
Cerro Largo
Gigliotti (54' pen.)
Beltran (69')
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro Largo
0-0
Nacional
Alvarez (41'), Max (51'), Morales (75'), Bentaberry (81')
Marichal (70'), Rodriguez (87')
Apr 23, 2022 12am
Gameweek 10
Cerro Largo
0-2
Nacional
Martinez (19'), Max (60'), Correa (90')
Castro (38'), Marichal (53'), Lozano (85'), Fagundez (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro Largo
1-1
Nacional
Otormin (24')
Ferreira (56'), Di Yorio (65'), Paiva (70')
Ferreira (88')
Risso (19')
Garcia (45'), Gabrielli (72')
Risso (23')