Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 8, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Fenix

Cerro Largo
2 - 1
Fenix

Brasil (45+1'), Gonzalez (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ocampo (64')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-1 Cerro
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Fenix

All competitions
Last Game: Fenix 3-0 Racing
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawFenix
33.93% (0.163 0.16)29.3% (-0.102 -0.1)36.77% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 43.96% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1% (0.354 0.35)62.9% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.61% (0.256 0.26)82.39% (-0.253 -0.25)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.303 0.3)34.64% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64% (0.32 0.32)71.36% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (0.15000000000001 0.15)32.74% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (0.165 0.16)69.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 33.92%
    Fenix 36.77%
    Draw 29.3%
Cerro LargoDrawFenix
1-0 @ 12.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.97% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.3%
0-1 @ 12.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.77%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Fenix
0-0
Cerro Largo
Sep 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
Cerro Largo
1-0
Fenix
Villar (25')
Apr 3, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Fenix
2-0
Cerro Largo
Casas (24'), Estoyanoff (45+2' pen.)
Barboza (47')

Bentaberry (27'), Garcia (45'), Lima (45'), Benguche (62')
Garcia (39'), Benguche (70')
Oct 31, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 9
Fenix
1-4
Cerro Largo
Ramos (9')
Ramos (55'), Argacha (90'), Schetino (90')
Toledo (22')
Onetto (17'), Otormin (25' pen., 45+1', 85')
Onetto (48'), Nahuel Enrique (75')
Jul 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Cerro Largo
1-2
Fenix
Onetto (67')
Brasil (53'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Franco (29'), Alfaro (60')
Sosa (45+4'), Pereira (53'), Toledo (70'), Souza (83')