Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Independiente
Jul 29, 2023 9.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Boca Juniors
  • Brian Martinez 25' yellowcard
  • Cristian Baez 26' yellowcard
  • Baltasar Barcia 50' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcone 65' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ortiz 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Fernandez 36'
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 62'
  • goal Exequiel Zeballos 72'
  • goal Nicolas Valentini 77'

Independiente vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm
Tucuman 1 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Matias Gimenez Rojas

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 12.45am
Boca Juniors 2 - 1 Newell's OB
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 34.78%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (13.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result

Independiente 34.57% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 30.64% ▲ (+0.14)
Boca Juniors 34.78% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.48% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.95% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 67.05% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 14.7% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 3.5 85.3% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 5.47% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 94.53% ▲ (+0.14)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 63.55% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 36.44% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 26.77% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 73.23% ▲ (+0.12)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 63.7% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 0.5 36.3% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 1.5 26.91% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 73.08% ▲ (+0.42)

Score analysis

Independiente 34.57%
Draw 30.63%
Boca Juniors 34.78%
Independiente
1-0 @ 13.35% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 34.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 13.22% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.63%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 13.4% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 34.78%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Boca Juniors
Jan 8, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Boca Juniors
Oct 23, 2022 9.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Independiente
  • Guillermo Fernandez 34' goal
  • Sebastian Villa 49' goal
  • goal Leandro Fernandez 32'
  • goal Javier Vallejo 81'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Independiente
Feb 27, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Boca Juniors
  • Lucas Romero 20' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 22' yellowcard
  • Gaston Togni 31' goal
  • Carlos Benavidez 58' yellowcard
  • Alan Sonora 80' goal
  • yellowcard Frank Fabra 14'
  • goal Dario Benedetto 17'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 22'
  • goal Dario Benedetto 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Villa 45'+2'
  • redcard Frank Fabra 70'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Zeballos 90'+27'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 90'+28'
Copa Diego Maradona
Independiente
Nov 25, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Boca Juniors
  • Carlos Benavidez 20' goal
  • Carlos Benavidez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Andres Roa 52' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 58' yellowcard
  • Alan Velasco 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Medina 24'
  • yellowcard Agustin Almendra 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Agustin Sandez 73'
  • yellowcard 82'
  • redcard Carlos Izquierdoz 82'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 90'+2'
Copa Diego Maradona
Independiente
Mar 29, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Boca Juniors
  • Gaston Togni 25' goal
  • Gaston Togni 54' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Messiniti 64' yellowcard
  • Domingo Blanco 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Medina 47'
  • goal Carlos Zambrano 55'
  • yellowcard Jorman Campuzano 57'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 60'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ezequiel Almendra 76'
  • yellowcard Carlos Izquierdoz 78'
  • yellowcard Carlos Tevez 90'
Copa Diego Maradona
Independiente
Dec 20, 2020 10.20pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Boca Juniors
  • Lucas Gonzalez 6' yellowcard
  • Silvio Romero 21' goal
  • yellowcard Edwin Cardona 67'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Villa 69'
  • goal Franco Soldano 83'
  • goal Edwin Cardona 90'+1'

Form Data

Tucuman 1 - 0 Independiente
C. Cordoba 0 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 0 - 2 Newell's OB
Gimnasia 1 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 0 Huracan
Union 3 - 0 Independiente
Boca Juniors 2 - 1 Newell's OB
Gimnasia 1 - 3 Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Huracan
Union 0 - 0 Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Sarmiento
Boca Juniors 4 - 0 Monagas