Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.