/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fdyjlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Femelog.png)
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33'
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David Barbona
62'
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David Barbona
62'
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Gaston Togni
87'
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Gaston Togni
87'
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Carlos Villalba
35'
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Carlos Villalba
35'
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Michael Carcelen
59'
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Michael Carcelen
59'
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Luis Leon
87'
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Luis Leon
87'
Defensa y Justicia vs Emelec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Emelec Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 11.35% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.23)
4-1 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 58.34%
0-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.37)
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 18.15%