Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.