Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Jul 6, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
  • Flabian Londono 21' goal
  • goal Nicolas Fernandez 68'
  • goal Nicolas Fernandez 69'

Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 1, 2023 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Santiago Toloza

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jul 2, 2023 11.30pm
Defensa 1 - 0 Tigre
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nicolas Fernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.

Result

Arsenal Sarandi 32.83% (-0.09)
Draw 29.18% (-0.05)
Defensa y Justicia 37.99% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.14% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.39% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 62.61% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 17.82% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 82.18% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 7.11% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 92.89% (-0.06)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5 64.75% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.25% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.01% (-0.02)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 68.17% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 31.83% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 31.73% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 68.27% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Arsenal Sarandi 32.82%
Draw 29.18%
Defensa y Justicia 37.98%
Arsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 32.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.22% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.18%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 12.84% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.35% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.98%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Aug 1, 2022 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Julian Navas 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Dardo Miloc 55'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2022 10.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adonis Frias 4' goal
  • Nazareno Colombo 59' redcard
  • goal Gonzalo Goni 72'
Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 29, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Gabriel Hachen 27'
  • yellowcard Alexis Soto 39'
  • yellowcard Adonis Frias 89'
Copa Diego Maradona
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Ignacio Gariglio 6' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Unsain 8' goal
  • Enzo Jeremias Fernandez 80' yellowcard
  • Leonel Picco 85' yellowcard
  • Adonis Frias 90'+4' yellowcard
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2019 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Florencio Varela, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Gonzalo Piovi 26' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 60' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Parisi 10'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gimenez 32'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Rescaldani 32'
  • goal Gaston Alvarez Suarez 37'
  • yellowcard Fabio Pereyra 55'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Piovi 61'
  • goal Joel Sonora 74'