Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Tigre
42.48% ( 0.53)	27.61% ( -0.21)	29.9% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.09% (

0.65)

57.9% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.38% (

0.51)

78.61% (

-0.51)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05% (

0.59)

26.94% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72% (

0.77)

62.28% (

-0.77)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11% (

0.1)

34.89% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37% (

0.11)

71.62% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 42.47%

Tigre 29.9%

Draw 27.61%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.47%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 29.9%