Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
55.14% ( 0.15)	24.66% ( 0.05)	20.2% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 47.08% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.94% (

-0.45)

54.06% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.51% (

-0.38)

75.49% (

0.38)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46% (

-0.11)

19.54% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.56% (

-0.19)

51.44% (

0.19)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.51% (

-0.48)

41.49% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.01% (

-0.43)

77.99% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Tigre 55.13%

Academia Puerto Cabello 20.2%

Draw 24.66%

Tigre	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.13%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.2%