Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.