Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.34%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.