Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Velez Sarsfield
May 16, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Rosario

Velez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 8, 2023 1.00am
Estudiantes 2 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Santiago Castro

Rosario Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 7, 2023 6.00pm
Rosario 4 - 0 Platense
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Alejo Veliz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 54.54% ▲ (+0.49)
Draw 26.05% ▼ (-0.26)
Rosario Central 19.41% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.32% ▲ (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.24% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 59.75% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 3.5 19.95% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 3.5 80.05% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 4.5 8.31% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 4.5 91.69% ▼ (-0.26)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 77.93% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 0.5 22.07% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 1.5 44.58% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 55.41% ▼ (-0.68)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 54.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 45.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 18.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 81.48% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 54.53%
Draw 26.04%
Rosario Central 19.41%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.23% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 11.51% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 54.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.04%
Rosario Central
0-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.16)
1-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 19.41%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
Jun 20, 2022 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Rosario
  • Luca Orellano 6' goal
  • Damian Fernandez 49' yellowcard
  • Maximo Perrone 75' yellowcard
  • Francisco Ortega 76' yellowcard
  • Damian Fernandez 84' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Gamba 64'
  • yellowcard Fernando Torrent 90'+6'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Rosario
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Velez Sarsfield
  • Cristian Baez 56' goal
  • Gino Infantino 80' yellowcard
  • Mateo Tanlongo 87' yellowcard
  • Damian Martinez 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Castro 82'
  • yellowcard Tomas Guidara 90'+5'
Copa Diego Maradona
Rosario
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Velez Sarsfield
  • Lautaro Blanco 48' yellowcard
  • Damian Martinez 69' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 74' yellowcard
  • Facundo Almada 79' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Vecchio 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Damian Ariel Fernandez 17'
  • redcard Damian Ariel Fernandez 36'
  • yellowcard Cristian Tarragona 37'
Copa Diego Maradona
Rosario
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Velez Sarsfield
  • Alan Marinelli 26' goal
  • Jonathan Bottinelli 43' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Bottinelli 78' redcard
  • Damian Martinez 88' redcard
  • goal Ricardo Centurion 9'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Amor 37'
  • yellowcard Juan Martin Lucero 78'
  • goal Thiago Almada 82'
  • redcard Pablo Galdames 84'
  • goal Florian Gonzalo de Jesus Monzon 90'+2'
  • goal Florian Monzon 90'+2'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Rosario
Oct 20, 2019 9.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre (Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe)
Velez Sarsfield
  • Diego Novaretti 36' yellowcard
  • Fabian Rinaudo 56' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Fernandez 81'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 87'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Velez Sarsfield
Dec 3, 2018 10.20pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)
Rosario
  • Braian Cufre 45' yellowcard
  • Lucas Robertone 69' goal
  • Thiago Almada 81' goal
  • yellowcard Elias Jose Gomez 2'
  • yellowcard Diego Arismendi 34'
  • yellowcard German Herrera 63'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Ortiz 90'

Form Data

Estudiantes 2 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
Colon 2 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 Barracas Central
Instituto 1 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 3 - 3 Banfield
Rosario 4 - 0 Platense
Talleres 3 - 1 Rosario
Rosario 2 - 2 Boca Juniors
Tucuman 2 - 2 Rosario
Rosario 1 - 0 Independiente
Newell's OB 0 - 0 Rosario