Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 13, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 0
Belgrano

Fernandez (19'), Miritello (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Belgrano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-3 Defensa
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Belgrano

All competitions
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 3 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBelgrano
41.86% (0.403 0.4)29.6% (0.091999999999999 0.09)28.54% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 41.69% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.07% (-0.429 -0.43)64.93% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.15% (-0.302 -0.3)83.84% (0.303 0.3)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (0.016000000000005 0.02)30.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.015999999999998 0.02)66.96% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (-0.644 -0.64)39.83% (0.648 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (-0.599 -0.6)76.5% (0.60199999999999 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 41.85%
    Belgrano 28.53%
    Draw 29.59%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 14.44% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.141 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 41.85%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.22% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.59%
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 28.53%

How you voted: Defensa vs Belgrano

Defensa y Justicia
57.7%
Draw
30.8%
Belgrano
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2018 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Defensa
1-1
Belgrano
Rojas (58')
Larrondo (88')
Brunetta (5')
Suarez (94')