Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 40.21%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.78%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.