Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 22, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Molinas (62'), Brizuela (88' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cabrera (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Tigre
Saturday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
46.47% (2.085 2.09)27.58% (-1.264 -1.26)25.95% (-0.826 -0.83)
Both teams to score 45.28% (2.673 2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (3.669 3.67)59.63% (-3.674 -3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (2.728 2.73)79.96% (-2.732 -2.73)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (2.799 2.8)25.7% (-2.802 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (3.656 3.66)60.61% (-3.66 -3.66)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (1.349 1.35)39.05% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (1.247 1.25)75.77% (-1.251 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 46.46%
    Velez Sarsfield 25.95%
    Draw 27.57%
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-0 @ 9.27% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.489 0.49)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.399 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.505 0.51)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.296 0.3)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.233 0.23)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 10.03% (-1.48 -1.48)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.37 0.37)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.994 -0.99)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 25.95%

How you voted: Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield

Tigre
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Velez Sarsfield
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Tigre
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Armoa (6'), Colidio (22')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Velez Sarsfield
3-2
Tigre
Florentin (26'), Janson (33' pen.), Fernandez (40')
Janson (19'), Ortega (50'), Sosa (90+8')
Obando (23'), Prieto (87')
Cabrera (63'), Prieto (80')
Mar 4, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 21
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
Tigre
Abram (42')
Gianetti (71'), Gimenez (88')
Gonzalez (51', 78')
Prediger (21'), Galmarini (88')