Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Jun 22, 2023 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
  • Aaron Molinas 62' goal
  • Miguel Brizuela 88' goal
  • goal Elias Cabrera 64'

Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jun 10, 2023 11.00pm
Platense 1 - 0 Tigre
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mateo Retegui

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 10.00pm
Racing 2 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Santiago Castro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result

Tigre 46.47% (+2.09)
Draw 27.58% (-1.27)
Velez Sarsfield 25.95% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.28% (+2.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.36% (+3.67)
Under 2.5 59.63% (-3.68)
Over 3.5 20.04% (+2.73)
Under 3.5 79.96% (-2.74)
Over 4.5 8.36% (+1.53)
Under 4.5 91.64% (-1.53)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5 74.3% (+2.80)
Under 0.5 25.7% (-2.81)
Over 1.5 39.38% (+3.66)
Under 1.5 60.61% (-3.66)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 60.94% (+1.35)
Under 0.5 39.05% (-1.36)
Over 1.5 24.22% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 75.77% (-1.26)

Score analysis

Tigre 46.46%
Draw 27.57%
Velez Sarsfield 25.95%
Tigre
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.82)
2-0 @ 9.27% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 8.71% (+0.49)
3-0 @ 4.2% (+0.40)
3-1 @ 3.95% (+0.51)
3-2 @ 1.86% (+0.30)
4-0 @ 1.43% (+0.24)
4-1 @ 1.34% (+0.26)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 46.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.27)
0-0 @ 10.03% (-1.49)
2-2 @ 4.1% (+0.37)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.57%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 9.44% (-1.00)
1-2 @ 6.03% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 1.89% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (+0.16)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 25.95%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 20
Sep 18, 2022 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Blas Armoa 6' goal
  • Facundo Colidio 22' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 30, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Lucas Janson 19' yellowcard
  • Jose Florentin 26' goal
  • Lucas Janson 33' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 40' goal
  • Francisco Ortega 50' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Sosa 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Obando 23'
  • yellowcard Victor Cabrera 63'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Prieto 80'
  • goal Sebastian Prieto 87'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Mar 4, 2019 10.20pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)
  • Luis Abram 42' goal
  • Lautaro Gianetti 71' yellowcard
  • Gaston Gimenez 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Prediger 21'
  • goal Federico Gonzalez 51'
  • goal Federico Gonzalez 78'
  • yellowcard Martin Galmarini 88'