Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 13, 2023 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

FT(HT: 0-0)
Heredia (77', 77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 3 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawArgentinos Juniors
32.57% (-0.161 -0.16)30.2% (-0.004999999999999 -0)37.23% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 41.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)65.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)84.49% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.116 -0.12)37.22% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.115 -0.12)74.01% (0.116 0.12)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.11099999999999 0.11)34.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.119 0.12)70.69% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 32.57%
    Argentinos Juniors 37.23%
    Draw 30.19%
Velez SarsfieldDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 32.57%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.65%
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.19%
0-1 @ 13.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.23%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Argentinos Jrs

Velez Sarsfield
50.0%
Draw
21.4%
Argentinos Juniors
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 11.30pm
gameweek 27
Argentinos Jrs
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Mac Allister (45+4'), Veron (80')
Mar 22, 2022 12.30am
gameweek 7
Argentinos Jrs
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Nov 24, 2021 12.30am
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Argentinos Jrs
Feb 27, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Velez Sarsfield

Sandoval (29'), Vera (41'), Florentin (45'), Cabrera (65'), Mac Allister (90+2')
Vera (62'), Sandoval (65')
Janson (53'), Almada (84')
Galdames (13'), Martin Lucero (27'), Abram (61')
Mar 2, 2020 12.50am
gameweek 22
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Argentinos Jrs
Romero (40'), Almada (78')
Galdames (25'), Gimenez (33'), de los Santos (90')

Hauche (82')